Short term swing trade | Buy NSE: APLAPOLLO | 6-7% target | Indian stock trading picks on 06 Jan 2025

NOTE

Closing Price: ₹1,966 (as of Jan 05, 2026)
StopLoss*: Apply on the daily close. After the first target, reset the StopLoss to your buying price.
Duration^: Approximate holding period based on the active trading days (excluding market holidays). Actual holding may vary with the market conditions.
Upside Potential#: Based on median of the suggested buy range.

APL Apollo Tubes Limited is an Indian company that makes and sells structural steel tubes. Its products are used in construction, automobiles, machinery, furniture, plumbing, roofing, and fencing. The company also offers galvanized, designer, and color-coated steel products and exports to various countries. Founded in 1986, it was earlier known as Bihar Tubes Limited and was renamed APL Apollo Tubes Limited in 2010. The company is headquartered in Noida, India.

Website: https://www.aplapollo.com/

Q2 FY26 Earnings Call Summary & Financial Highlights

Earnings Call Summary

Profit Soars 460% YoY: Net profit jumped from ₹54 crore to ₹302 crore — the highest profit growth in the last 17 quarters.
Margins Drive Growth: Revenue rose a modest 9% to ₹5,206 crore, but EBITDA surged 224%, showing strong margin expansion.
Record Sales Volume: Q2 sales hit an all-time high of 855,000 tons, up 8% QoQ and 13% YoY, indicating solid demand.
EBITDA at Record High: EBITDA per ton reached ₹5,228, beating guidance and reflecting strong pricing power and cost efficiency.
Confident Outlook: Management maintained 10–15% volume growth guidance and plans to add 7 million tons of capacity in 2–3 years using internal cash flows.

Financial Highlights

Metric	Q2 FY26	Q1 FY26	Q2 FY25	QoQ Growth (%)	YoY Growth (%)
Consolidated Revenue (₹ Cr)	5,206.30	5,169.77	4,773.91	0.70%	9.10%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)	447	397.57	142	12.40%	214.80%
EBITDA Margin (%)	8.87%	7.44%	2.98%	143 bps	589 bps
Profit After Tax (₹ Cr)	301.54	237.17	53.81	27.20%	460.50%
Earnings Per Share (₹)	10.86	8.54	1.94	27.20%	459.80%
EBITDA Per Ton (₹)	5,228	4,683	1,726	11.60%	202.80%

Q2 FY26 Earnings Call Summary & Financial Highlights

Earnings Call Summary

Profit Soars 460% YoY: Net profit jumped from ₹54 crore to ₹302 crore — the highest profit growth in the last 17 quarters.
Margins Drive Growth: Revenue rose a modest 9% to ₹5,206 crore, but EBITDA surged 224%, showing strong margin expansion.
Record Sales Volume: Q2 sales hit an all-time high of 855,000 tons, up 8% QoQ and 13% YoY, indicating solid demand.
EBITDA at Record High: EBITDA per ton reached ₹5,228, beating guidance and reflecting strong pricing power and cost efficiency.
Confident Outlook: Management maintained 10–15% volume growth guidance and plans to add 7 million tons of capacity in 2–3 years using internal cash flows.

Financial Highlights

Metric	Q2 FY26	Q1 FY26	Q2 FY25	QoQ Growth (%)	YoY Growth (%)
Consolidated Revenue (₹ Cr)	5,206.30	5,169.77	4,773.91	0.70%	9.10%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)	447	397.57	142	12.40%	214.80%
EBITDA Margin (%)	8.87%	7.44%	2.98%	143 bps	589 bps
Profit After Tax (₹ Cr)	301.54	237.17	53.81	27.20%	460.50%
Earnings Per Share (₹)	10.86	8.54	1.94	27.20%	459.80%
EBITDA Per Ton (₹)	5,228	4,683	1,726	11.60%	202.80%

Price Performance & Volume Analysis

Technical Analysis

Key Observations

For traders using swing trading strategies for Indian stocks, spotting a clear breakout with rising volumes can be the start of a quick, rewarding move.

Technical Image - Daily Timeframe

Technical Analysis

Key Observations

For traders using swing trading strategies for Indian stocks, spotting a clear breakout with rising volumes can be the start of a quick, rewarding move.

Technical Image - Daily Timeframe

Technical Indicators

Oscillators

Indicator	Value	Zone
RSI-14	73.61	Overbought
CCI-14	108.67	Overbought
MFI	64.04	Neutral
ROC	11.43	Positive
Stochastic %K	86.69	Overbought
William %R	-10.05	Overbought

Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)

EMA	Value	Stock Position
5 EMA	1936	Above
10 EMA	1899	Above
20 EMA	1855	Above
50 EMA	1795	Above
100 EMA	1759	Above
200 EMA	1705	Above

Technical Indicators

Oscillators

Indicator	Value	Zone
RSI-14	73.61	Overbought
CCI-14	108.67	Overbought
MFI	64.04	Neutral
ROC	11.43	Positive
Stochastic %K	86.69	Overbought
William %R	-10.05	Overbought

Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)

EMA	Value	Stock Position
5 EMA	1936	Above
10 EMA	1899	Above
20 EMA	1855	Above
50 EMA	1795	Above
100 EMA	1759	Above
200 EMA	1705	Above

Conclusion

APL Apollo Tubes Stock Price Forecast

Based on our positional trading tips in India, the APL Apollo Tubes Stock Price target will be INR 2060 - INR 2080 in the next 12-14 trading sessions.

Conclusion

APL Apollo Tubes Stock Price Forecast

Based on our positional trading tips in India, the APL Apollo Tubes Stock Price target will be INR 2060 - INR 2080 in the next 12-14 trading sessions.

MONEY MANAGEMENT AND TRADING RULES

Buy within the recommended price range. You may allow up to 1% flexibility beyond the range if needed.
No need to rush. The recommendation remains valid for up to 7 days, not just at market open.
Use a trailing stop-loss to protect and lock in profits.
Diversify your trading capital across our other recommended stocks to reduce risk.
Invest responsibly. Trade only with funds you can afford to lose and hedge positions where appropriate.

Analyst Summary

The research analysis is prepared by Arijit Banerjee, CMT, CFTe. He is a veteran trader and an active investor having in-depth knowledge in financial market research, advanced technical analysis, market cycle, algorithmic trading and portfolio management. Arijit is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) accredited by CMT Association USA, the leading global authority of Technical Analysis and has been honoured by Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) from the International Federation of Technical Analysts, USA. SEBI, the regulatory body of Indian financial market also recognizes him as a Research Analyst (INH300006582).

The views expressed herein are based solely on information available publicly/internal data/other sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to accuracy. The recommendations provided herein is solely for informational purposes and are not intended to be and must not be taken alone as the basis for an investment/trading decision. Trading and investing are subject to market risk and the securities discussed and opinions expressed herein may not be suitable for all investors. To read the full disclosure, please click here.

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