Short term swing trade | Buy NSE: LTF | 6-8% target | Indian stock trading idea on 14 Oct 2025

NOTE

 

  • Closing Price: ₹266.60 (as of Oct 13, 2025)

  • StopLoss*: Apply on the daily close. After the first target, reset the StopLoss to your buying price.

  • Duration^: Approximate holding period based on the active trading days (excluding market holidays). Actual holding may vary with the market conditions.

  • Upside Potential#: Based on median of the suggested buy range.

L&T Finance Limited is a non-banking financial company (NBFC) based in Mumbai, India. Incorporated in 1994, it operates as a subsidiary of Larsen & Toubro Limited. The company offers a wide range of financial products and services, including housing loans, personal loans for various needs such as education, weddings, travel, and medical expenses, as well as two-wheeler and business loans for SMEs, professionals, and supply chain financing. It also provides rural and farmer-focused loans, including Vikaas, Vishwas, Pragati, and micro loans, along with tractor, agri-equipment, and warehouse financing solutions. Formerly known as L&T Finance Holdings Limited, the company changed its name to L&T Finance Limited in March 2024.

 

Website: https://www.ltfinance.com

Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Summary & Results Highlights

Earnings Call Summary

 

  • Strong Quarter: Net profit up 10% to ₹701 cr; loan book crossed ₹1 lakh crore milestone; return on assets improved to 2.37%; retail disbursements grew 18% YoY to ₹17,522 cr.​
  • Gold Loan Business Launched: Acquired Paul Merchants' gold loan business (130 branches, ₹1,300 cr book) in 2 months; expanding to 300+ branches by FY26-end to reach 65 lakh rural customers.​
  • AI-Driven Credit System: Project Cyclops now processes 100% of two-wheeler loans, cutting defaults by 200 bps in 5 months; rolling out to tractors, SME, and personal loans.​
  • First International Rating: Received BBB- investment grade ratings from S&P and Fitch (matching India's sovereign rating), enabling cheaper overseas fund-raising.​
  • Rural Business Recovery: Karnataka collections improving; good monsoon (10% above normal) supporting rural growth; focus on prime customers (84% of two-wheeler loans vs 53% earlier).

Results Highlights

 

Mertrics Q1FY26 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q/Q(%) Y/Y(%)
Total Operating Revenue (Cr.) 4260 4023 3784 5.89 12.58
Total Operating expenses (Cr.) 1640 1581 1482 3.73 10.66
EBITDA (Cr.) 2620 2442 2302 7.29 13.81
NET P/L (Cr.) 701 636 685 10.22 2.34
EPS(INR) 2.81 2.55 2.75 10.20 2.18

Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Summary & Results Highlights

Earnings Call Summary

 

  • Strong Quarter: Net profit up 10% to ₹701 cr; loan book crossed ₹1 lakh crore milestone; return on assets improved to 2.37%; retail disbursements grew 18% YoY to ₹17,522 cr.​
  • Gold Loan Business Launched: Acquired Paul Merchants' gold loan business (130 branches, ₹1,300 cr book) in 2 months; expanding to 300+ branches by FY26-end to reach 65 lakh rural customers.​
  • AI-Driven Credit System: Project Cyclops now processes 100% of two-wheeler loans, cutting defaults by 200 bps in 5 months; rolling out to tractors, SME, and personal loans.​
  • First International Rating: Received BBB- investment grade ratings from S&P and Fitch (matching India's sovereign rating), enabling cheaper overseas fund-raising.​
  • Rural Business Recovery: Karnataka collections improving; good monsoon (10% above normal) supporting rural growth; focus on prime customers (84% of two-wheeler loans vs 53% earlier).

Results Highlights

 

Mertrics Q1FY26 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q/Q(%) Y/Y(%)
Total Operating Revenue (Cr.) 4260 4023 3784 5.89 12.58
Total Operating expenses (Cr.) 1640 1581 1482 3.73 10.66
EBITDA (Cr.) 2620 2442 2302 7.29 13.81
NET P/L (Cr.) 701 636 685 10.22 2.34
EPS(INR) 2.81 2.55 2.75 10.20 2.18

Price Performance & Volume Analysis

Price Performance

 

Volume Analysis

 

Price Performance & Volume Analysis

Price Performance

 

Volume Analysis

 

Technical Analysis

Key Observations

 

  • Earlier, the stock underwent a deep consolidation phase, forming an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
  • A breakout above the neckline triggered a strong bullish wave, pushing the price to all-time highs.
  • Currently trading at its peak, the stock continues to show strong resilience and appears poised for fresh highs ahead.

Technical Image - Daily Timeframe

 

Technical Analysis

Key Observations

 

  • Earlier, the stock underwent a deep consolidation phase, forming an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
  • A breakout above the neckline triggered a strong bullish wave, pushing the price to all-time highs.
  • Currently trading at its peak, the stock continues to show strong resilience and appears poised for fresh highs ahead.

Technical Image - Daily Timeframe

 

Technical Indicators

Oscillators

Indicator Value Zone
RSI-14 74.49 Overbought
CCI-14 168.4 Overbought
MFI 65.91 Neutral
ROC 2.43 Positive
Stochastic %K 70.39 Neutral
William %R -4.21 Overbought

Exponential Moving Averages

EMA Value Stock Position
5 EMA 263 Above
10 EMA 263 Above
20 EMA 262 Above
50 EMA 259 Above
100 EMA 254 Above
200 EMA 246 Above

Technical Indicators

Oscillators

Indicator Value Zone
RSI-14 74.49 Overbought
CCI-14 168.4 Overbought
MFI 65.91 Neutral
ROC 2.43 Positive
Stochastic %K 70.39 Neutral
William %R -4.21 Overbought

Exponential Moving Averages

EMA Value Stock Position
5 EMA 263 Above
10 EMA 263 Above
20 EMA 262 Above
50 EMA 259 Above
100 EMA 254 Above
200 EMA 246 Above

Conclusion

L&T Finance Stock Price Forecast

 

Based on our short term trading strategies, the L&T Finance Stock Price target will be INR 280 - INR 285 in the next 12-14 trading sessions.

Conclusion

L&T Finance Stock Price Forecast

 

Based on our short term trading strategies, the L&T Finance Stock Price target will be INR 280 - INR 285 in the next 12-14 trading sessions.

Analyst Summary

The research analysis is prepared by Arijit Banerjee, CMT, CFTe. He is a veteran trader and an active investor having in-depth knowledge in financial market research, advanced technical analysis, market cycle, algorithmic trading and portfolio management. Arijit is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) accredited by CMT Association USA, the leading global authority of Technical Analysis and has been honoured by Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) from the International Federation of Technical Analysts, USA. SEBI, the regulatory body of Indian financial market also recognizes him as a Research Analyst (INH300006582).

The views expressed herein are based solely on information available publicly/internal data/other sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to accuracy. The recommendations provided herein is solely for informational purposes and are not intended to be and must not be taken alone as the basis for an investment/trading decision. Trading and investing are subject to market risk and the securities discussed and opinions expressed herein may not be suitable for all investors. To read the full disclosure, please click here.

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Price
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Months
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Price
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Months are referred as calendar months

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